In questions of science, the authority of a thousand
is not worth the humble reasoning of a single individual.

–Galileo Galilei

Sunspot Enigma: Will Inactive Sun Cause Global Cooling?

sunspots

Something is happening to our sun. If history is anything to go by, the sun’s change of mood could affect us all by cooling the earth and throwing our climate change calculations into disarray. It might even be the case that the earth’s response to low solar activity will overturn many of our assumptions about man’s influence on climate change. Cold not warmth might be our future. We do not know. We must keep watching the sun. –David Whitehouse, Public Service Europe, 24 July 2013

A dueling presentation on the science of climate change

Dr. John Nielsen-Gammon- State Climatologist for Texas and Regents Prof. at Texas A&M, and Dr. Willie Soon- Astrophysicist at the Harvard-Smithsonian Center for Astrophysics, conduct a dueling presentation on the science of climate change. This is a joint event put on by the UHLC's Environmental & Energy Law Society and Federalist Society and is moderated by law student Michael Quirke.

Tenacity of Alarmists is Astounding

It's a beautiful day. Go out and play.Why won't the 'experts' just hit the beach
and stop all this doom-saying.
Global warming has been "on hold" for the past 16 years, so scientists are now saying that it's hiding in the deep oceans, even though they have no actual evidence this is the case. You have to admire the wherewithal of people who truly have a vested interest in keeping this "false" alarm alive and kicking. Now it's been delayed 5 to 10 years. Their computer models haven't panned out and yet the mainstream media has the temerity to call them experts?

Global warming has slowed down in the past decade or so: "Some people call it a slow-down, some call it a hiatus, some people call it a pause. The global average surface temperature has not increased substantially over the last 10 to 15 years," notes a scientist. That's true even though the amount of carbon dioxide in the atmosphere keeps speeding up. We have the deep ocean to thank, experts say: It's acting as a massive heat sink.

97 per cent of climate activists in the pay of Big Oil shock!

cartoon al gore making moneyWhere the real money isUnless you're a reader of the Guardian Environment's recently added section "Sacrifice your children to Mother Gaia. It's the only way!", you'll probably never have heard of the man who co-edits it, Dana Nuccitelli. But you'll certainly be familiar with his most famous bogus statistical artefact: the one he created with fellow climate alarmist John Cook to prove that 97 per cent of climate scientists really DO believe in global warming.

The claim has been roundly debunked. Apart from the problems with its statistical methodology, its findings are essentially meaningless. As Ben Pile points out in this characteristically measured, thoughtful piece,

"Nuccitelli’s survey results are either the result of a comprehensive failure to understand the climate debate, or an attempt to divide it in such a way as to frame the result for political ends."

Indeed, adds Pile, they represent:

"a cartoonish polarisation of positions within the climate debate."

Chukchi-Beaufort ice extent comparison – why feature only the last 7 years?

The most recent issue of Arctic Sea Ice News provided by the National Snow and Ice Data Center (NSIDC) – the official US keeper of sea ice data – (July 17, 2013) included an interesting graph of sea ice extent in the Chukchi and Beaufort Seas at July 12.

They present the data for 2007 to 2013, compared to the new 30 year average1, and note that the Beaufort Sea had “the most extensive ice cover seen there in the last seven summers.” It is also clear from their graph that the 2013 extent was virtually identical to the average in both regions (Fig. 1).

Figure 1. Graph of sea ice extent at July 12 each year from 2007 to 2013 from the National Snow and Ice Data Center, NSIDC. “Climatology” (last set of bars) is the 30 year average (1981-2010) extent at this date.1 It is clear from the graph that the 2013 extent was virtually identical to the 30-year average. Map from Wikipedia.

 Figure 1. Graph of sea ice extent at July 12 each year from 2007 to 2013 from the National Snow and Ice Data Center, NSIDC. “Climatology” (last set of bars) is the 30 year average (1981-2010) extent at this date.1 It is clear from the graph that the 2013 extent was virtually identical to the 30-year average. Map from Wikipedia.

Andrew Neil on Ed Davey climate change interview critics

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The Sunday Politics interview with Energy and Climate Change Secretary Ed Davey on July 14 provoked widespread reaction in the twittersphere and elsewhere, which was only to be expected given the interview was about the latest developments in global warming and the implications for government policy.

The Sunday Politics remit and interview duration means we are able to carry out proper forensic interviews on such matters.

Get Ready to Pay as EPA Sounds the CO2 Battle-Cry

EPA head Gina McCarthyEPA head Gina McCarthyAs reported in The Hill, the new EPA Chief is telling her staff in a battle-cry of desperation to "act now on climate change." That means more rules and regulations on a non-existent 'global' problem as China and India ratchet up production of coal-fired plants:

The Environmental Protection Agency “has a clear responsibility to act now on climate change,” the agency’s new chief said Monday in a video message to staff.

EPA Administrator Gina McCarthy, who was confirmed to replace Lisa Jackson last week, said the agency has reached a “defining time” in its history as it prepares to regulate greenhouse gas emissions from power plants.

“We also need your sustained service, and your sustained commitment, more than ever before — because this is a defining time for EPA,” McCarthy said.

Politicians go cold as global warming debate loses spark

2009 Copenhagen climate change summit2009 climate change summitSEVEN years ago, pulled along by huskies, the present British Prime Minister David Cameron visited a Norwegian glacier. Vote blue, he implored, and go green.

One year later, Kevin Rudd became Prime Minister of Australia after identifying climate change as the "greatest moral challenge of our time". Climate change campaigners interpreted his victory as one of seismic importance and governments across Europe rushed to pour money into the renewable energy sector.

Then in 2008 along came Barack Obama. The wicked George W. Bush was replaced with a US president who promised to stop global warming. Hurrah!

€400k-a-head Iberian Lynx mainly threatened by Spanish politics, NOT climate change

Iberian LynxThe survival of the endangered Iberian Lynx can easily be ensured, scientists report today, if only Spanish regional politicians will stop insisting on efforts to reintroduce the iconic cats into areas which are unsuitable for them.

"The world's most endangered cat", according to this statement from Copenhagen university, is imperilled today because it can only eat rabbits, and the rabbit population of the Iberian peninsula has been devastated by disease in recent times. As a result there are now only 250 lynxes left in the wild, despite massive efforts by the Spanish authorities on their behalf - no less than €100 million (or €400k per head) has been spent on lynx conservation so far, we learn.

On Gaia, A Critical Investigation of the Relationship between Life and Earth by Toby Tyrrell

GaiaThe Gaia hypothesis, put forth by James Lovelock in 1972, proposes that planet Earth is regulated by and for the life forms occurring on the planet.  The hypothesis suggests that life has somehow conspired in the regulation of the global environment so as to keep conditions comfortable. In some forms, the Gaia hypothesis suggests that the planet has a “consciousness.”

According to the author, Toby Tyrrell, a professor of Earth system science at the University of Southampton, England, the Gaia hypothesis makes three main assertions:

1. The environment is very well-suited to the organisms that inhabit it. As Tyrrell points out, this assertion is backwards, organisms adapt to the environment; the environment does not adapt to organisms.

2. The Earth’s atmosphere is a biological construct whose composition is far from expectations of (abiotic) chemical equilibrium.

3. The Earth has been a stable environment over time, despite variable external forcings.

The Age Of Plenty

There’s a surging current of alarm that we’re headed for a food doomsday by 2050—that the world’s food-producing capacity will crash before population peaks at 10 billion. Don’t you believe it! Smart technology and better management policies will let us feed the hungry hordes to midcentury and beyond. --IEEE Spectrum, Summer 2013

World total cereal production is forecast to increase by about 7 percent in 2013 compared to last year, helping to replenish global inventories and raise expectations for more stable markets in 2013/14, according to the latest issue of the UN Food and Agriculture Organization’s quarterly Crop Prospects and Food Situation report. --Food and Agriculture Organization of the United Nations, 11 July 2013

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The Economist Reveals Sensitive Information

Yvo de BoerYvo de Boer“That report is going to scare the wits out of everyone,” said Yvo de Boer recently. He is a former United Nations chief climate negotiator and was talking about the forthcoming fifth assessment by the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC). With two months to go before the assessment is to be published, however, one sign suggests it might be less terrifying than it could have been. [The draft IPCC report] seems to reflect a growing sense that climate sensitivity may have been overestimated in the past and that the science is too uncertain to justify a single estimate of future rises. If this does turn out to be the case, it would have significant implications for policy. --The Economist, 20 July 2013

The next United Nations climate report will "scare the wits out of everyone" and should provide the impetus needed for the world to finally sign an agreement to tackle global warming, the former head of the UN negotiations said. Yvo de Boer, the UN climate chief during the 2009 Copenhagen climate change talks, said his conversations with scientists working on the next report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change suggested the findings would be shocking. "That report is going to scare the wits out of everyone,'' Mr de Boer said in the only scheduled interview of his visit to Australia. "I'm confident those scientific findings will create new political momentum." --Peter Hannam, Brisbane Times, 7 November 2012