The fewer the facts, the stronger the opinion.
–Arnold H. Glasow

Measuring global temperatures: Satellites or thermometers?

weather satelliteThe official global temperature numbers are in, and NOAA and NASA have decided that 2015 was the warmest year on record. Based mostly upon surface thermometers, the official pronouncement ignores the other two primary ways of measuring global air temperatures, satellites and radiosondes (weather balloons).

The fact that those ignored temperature datasets suggest little or no warming for about 18 years now, it is worth outlining the primary differences between these three measurement systems.

World Health Organization says Zika virus is 'spreading explosively'

mosquitoThe World Health Organization (WHO) announced today it will be holding an emergency meeting on Feb. 1, 2016, to determine if the current Zika virus outbreak is a "Public Health Emergency of International Concern," which can direct money and resources at the virus much faster. The last time the WHO declared an emergency of this magnitude was for the Ebola virus outbreak. The Zika outbreak is being linked to a number of babies being born with microcephaly, a birth defect that causes underdeveloped brains.

New Study Allays Monsoon Alarm

india rainfall mapIndia’s monsoon is in no danger of catastrophic collapse in response to global warming and air pollution, two atmospheric scientists said today, refuting earlier predictions that the monsoon could shut down within 100 years. Their results contradict earlier forecasts by scientists at the Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research in Germany portending frequent and severe failures and even a breakdown of the monsoon, which is critical to India’s food, water resources and economy. The earlier modelling exercises had predicted that the monsoon, under the influence of global warming and air pollution, would experience a “tipping point” that would lead to a sharp drop in rainfall over India. Boos and his colleague Trude Storelvmo have now shown that the theory and models that were used to predict such “tipping points” had omitted a key term in climate behaviour, ignoring the fact that air cools as it rises in the atmosphere. --G.S. Mudur, The Calcutta Telegraph, 26 January 2016

Two new studies show climate affected by geological forces

After ten years of research the Plate Climatology Theory was formally introduced on October 7th, 2014 in a previous Climate Change Dispatch (CCD) post. Recently the theory was presented at the American Meteorological Society Annual convention in New Orleans on January 13, 2016, (refer here) thereby marking it “published” by a major and well recognized scientific organization.

Figure 1) Geological heat flow from earth’s mantle is here shown breaking through earth’s outer crust thereby altering earth’s oceans, atmosphere, and climate.Figure 1. Geological heat flow from earth’s mantle is here shown breaking through earth’s outer crust thereby altering earth’s oceans, atmosphere, and climate.

Now two recently published peer-reviewed studies, one from Harvard and the other from the Lamont-Doherty Earth Observatory, show the basic tenets of Plate Climatology Theory essentially correct. (see end for references)

Will La Niña Take El Niño’s Place In The Pacific?

sea surfacePeople all over the world are keeping a very close eye on how this historic El Niño evolves during the next few months. We know from previous ocean monitoring that the end of El Niño is often followed by the reversal of the phenomenon, known as La Niña, although that is not always the case. Many years of ocean data show that La Niña events have followed 11 of the last 15 El Niño events. As the equatorial Pacific slowly cools down with a decaying El Niño, La Niña could start taking over as early as summer of 2016. --The Weather Network, 26 January 2016

Murder: An Acceptable Means For Fighting Global Warming?

deltaActivists accused of blocking a rail line were acquitted last week of obstruction. Jurors apparently felt their actions were justifiable because they were trying to save the climate. How far will this be allowed to go?

Though the activists, known as the Delta 5, were absolved of obstructing a train, they were found guilty of lesser misdemeanor trespassing charges. They considered it a victory. One member of the group, Abby Brockway, told jurors that “this was probably the best verdict that could have been returned to us.”

WaPo Pushes Global Warming Theory Based On Movie ‘The Day After Tomorrow’

blizzardThe Washington Post’s Chris Mooney tried to tie man-made warming to massive winter blizzards Monday, like the one that left millions of Americans covered in two feet of snow over the weekend.

The article, published Monday afternoon, was provocatively titled “The Surprising Way That Climate Change Could Worsen East Coast Blizzards.”

Time runs out on Al Gore's global-warming Armageddon

gore todayTen years ago, Rush Limbaugh started a countdown clock after Al Gore reportedly claimed there were only 10 years left to save the world from the ravages of global warming.

Actor and activist Larry David was quoted as saying, “You know, Al is a funny guy, but he’s also a very serious guy who believes humans may have only 10 years left to save the planet from turning into a total frying pan.”

For 10 years, the Al Gore “Armageddon” clock counted down at Rush Limbaugh’s website, heading toward its expiration at midnight Tuesday.

Britain Faces Energy Crisis, Engineers Warn

power plant coal firedEnergy bills will soar as green policies shut coal-fired power stations and cause an “electricity supply crisis”, experts say. Prices will be forced up as the UK has to import more power, according to a report by the Institution of Mechanical Engineers today. --Craig Woodhouse, The Sun, 26 January 2016

The UK is heading for a severe electricity supply crisis by 2025, the Institution of Mechanical Engineers (IME) is warning today. IME, which has more than 112,000 members in 140 countries says the closure of coal and nuclear plants would lead to a 40-55% shortfall amid growing demand. And the group’s new report – Engineering the UK Electricity Gap – also says plans to plug the gap by building combined cycle gas turbine (CCGT) plants are unrealistic as the UK would need about 30 of them in less than 10 years. IME head of energy and environment Jenifercorr Baxter, lead author of the document, said: “The UK is facing an electricity supply crisis. As the UK population rises and with the greater use of electricity use in transport and heating, it looks almost certain that electricity demand is going to rise.” --Keith Findlay, Energy Voice, 26 January 2016

New Mann-made global warming study is 'scientifically valueless paper'

Reason4Reason, Wikimedia CC-SA 3.0A new study published this week by climate activist Michael Mann is coming under scrutiny from other climate experts because it claims any warming since 1950 is 100 percent man-made and that since 2000, 13 of those years had record-breaking temps. But Mann's study does not adequately account for natural variability such as ocean oscillations, which have been shown to dramatically affect the climate.

Published in Nature Scientific Reports and co-authored by an environmental group, it shows there have been a string of record-breaking 'hot years since 2000' that Mann says is 'almost certainly a sign of man-made global warming.'

The so-called hottest years also fall within the global warming hiatus, a time frame lasting nearly 19 years before a strong El Niño in 2015 raised temps worldwide. Both the UN’s Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) and leading climate scientists have acknowledged this hiatus. That's because the satellite record dataset shows no statistical increase in warming as predicted by global warming theory. Even land- and sea-based temperature stations show much less warming than predicted by climate models.

Scientists Tout New Study On Man-Made Warming As Americans Sit Under Record Snowfall

He's back!Michael Mann: He's back!The climate scientist at the center of the Climategate email scandal is out with a new study claiming man-made warming is responsible for record-breaking warmth in recent years.

The study’s timing, however, couldn’t have been any worse — a major blizzard has millions of Americans sitting under record levels of snowfall.

Climate scientists Michael Mann of Penn State University, along with other scientists, published a new study Monday claiming “record-setting temperatures were extremely unlikely to have occurred in the absence of human-caused climate change.”

Blizzard of Global Warming Blankets U.S. East Coast

end of snow nytimesThe US East Coast has been blanketed in global warming. Layers and layers and layers of it.

But don’t worry: it’s not actually real. We know this because of the climate experts and their computer models. (H/T Tom Nelson)

Here is a learned, peer-reviewed study published in Nature in 2014

In a warming climate, precipitation is less likely to occur as snowfall1, 2. A shift from a snow- towards a rain-dominated regime is currently assumed not to influence the mean streamflow significantly1, 3, 4, 5. Contradicting the current paradigm, we argue that mean streamflow is likely to reduce for catchments that experience significant reductions in the fraction of precipitation falling as snow.