The fewer the facts, the stronger the opinion.
–Arnold H. Glasow

How geological forces are behind the 'Warmest Year Ever'

Recent media reports by the National Atmospheric and Oceanic Administration (NOAA) and the National Aeronautics and Space Administration (NASA) are claiming 2015 as the "Warmest Year Ever" based on land-based temperature readings.

Figure 1.)  Ocean temperature maps of the 1998 and 2015 El Nino’s. Anomalously warm areas of the Pacific Ocean are highlighted in red.Figure 1.) Ocean temperature maps of the 1998 and 2015 El Nino’s. Anomalously warm areas of the Pacific Ocean are highlighted in red.

Yet the most important aspect of these stories has been drowned out / lost in the giant media climate change Tsunami wave of propaganda and misinformation. No one has answered one extremely important question: What was the cause of this increase in atmospheric temperatures after an 18-plus-year lull?

Davos Business Leaders No Longer Bothered About Climate Change

oil tankerThe high profile UN summit on climate change in Paris appears to have had little impact on the decision making and worries of global business leaders. Despite concerns about its impact on extreme weather events, such as recent flooding in the UK, climate change failed to register near the top of the list of business threats, according to a survey of 1,400 CEOs from around the world compiled by PricewaterhouseCoopers (PwC) and published at Davos this week. The findings were similar to a separate survey of 13,000 business leaders produced by the World Economic Forum (WEF). It also found a relative absence of concern about climate change and environmental risk amongst business leaders. --Tom Levitt, The Guardian, 20 January 2016

NOAA/NASA use only land-based temps to claim 2015 hottest year ever

global-mean-temperaturesUsing data from heavily adjusted land-based temperature readings, NOAA and NASA declared yesterday 2015 to be the 'hottest year ever,' even though they've excluded the satellite record, and worse, ocean temperatures. That's important because "70 percent of the Earth is oceans," and "we can’t measure those temperatures very well," says MIT's Dr. Richard Lindzen. "The ocean temps can also be "off a half a degree, a quarter of a degree. Even two-10ths of a degree of change would be tiny but two-100ths is ludicrous."

2015 was remarkable for two reasons: an ongoing naturally occurring El Niño event, where the tropical Pacific Ocean sea surface temperatures are unusually warm and affect the climate all over the world. This anomaly is responsible for above-normal temps across the planet, and affects countries from Australia to Zimbabwe. There was also the multi-year Pacific blob off the West Coast fueling California's drought.

Global Warmists Angry Half The Earth Isn’t Covered In Ice

ice age earthA newly published study indicates human-caused global warming starting shortly after the Industrial Revolution may have helped the Earth narrowly avert a catastrophic ice age, and global warming advocates and their mainstream media allies are very angry about it. Yes, really.

For the past 3 million years, the Earth has undergone a regular cycle of long ice age glaciations occasionally interrupted by short warm periods. The glaciations last approximately 100,000 years and the warm periods last an average of only 10,000 years. Our present warm period has been in existence for 10,000 years, leading many scientists to worry that a new ice age glaciation may be imminent.

Naturally-Occurring El Niño Makes 2015 The Hottest Year On Record

weather satU.S. government scientists have declared 2015 to be the hottest year on record based on surface temperature readings, reaching 0.87 degrees Celsius above the 20th century average.

Last year’s record heat, however, was in part due to the strongest El Niño warming event in 18 years that lasted through most of 2015. Indeed, El Niño was to blame for the freakishly warm weather Americans experienced over the holidays.

Scientists with the National Aeronautics and Space Administration (NASA) and the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA) found 2015 was about 0.13 degrees hotter than 2014 — that year was previously labeled as the warmest on record, but scientists were only 48 percent sure of it. Scientists say there’s only a 5 percent chance another year is warmer than 2015, thanks to a powerful El Niño.

Smug about your solar roof? Not so fast.

solar roofIf you've installed solar panels on your roof and feel aglow with environmental virtue, you may be in for a rude awakening. There's a good chance someone else has purchased your halo and is wearing it right now.

In most states (including California), rooftop solar panels earn Renewable Energy Certificates, which quantify how much clean electricity they produce. But if panels are leased or installed under a power purchase agreement, it's the “third-party owner” — not the homeowner — who gets those certificates. Most then turn around and sell the RECs, a process that magically turns brown electrons green.

Here's how it works: Joe's Solar puts panels on your roof that produce 7,500 kilowatt-hours a year, and Joe sells you the electricity under a power purchase agreement. Because Joe still owns the panels, he gets credit — in the form of RECs — for that renewable electricity. Meanwhile, Bob's all-fossil utility wants to “green up” so it buys RECs from Joe. That allows Bob to relabel 7,500 kilowatt-hours of his coal- or gas-fired power generation as “renewable energy.”

Cosmic cycles, not carbon dioxide, control climate

sunThose who think the political war on carbon will cool the globe or keep climate stable need to study climate history.

Temperatures on Earth dance to a cyclic rhythm every hour, every day, every month, every season, every year, and to every beat of the sun-spot and glacial cycles.

The daily solar cycle causes continual changes in temperature for every spot on Earth.  It produces the frosts at dawn, the midday heat, and the cooling at sunset.  It is regulated by rotation of the Earth.

Shale Revolution Changes Everything

cartoon oilOpec was on the verge of claiming victory over its North American rivals last night after its strategy of squeezing out the shale industry by flooding the markets with oil appeared to be vindicated. The oil producers’ cartel said that falling prices would force lower production from its rivals by the end of this year, with American and Canadian producers particularly affected. --Marcus Leroux, The Times, 19 January 2016

When oil prices tick up, thousands of profit-seeking investors make individual decisions to turn each shale factory’s switch to “on.” That’s how the U.S. so rapidly achieved, from 2009 to 2015, the record-breaking rise in production of four million barrels a day. Shale 2.0, when it comes, will be even better. The technology is advancing at a speed usually associated with Silicon Valley. Just as a new Internet ecosystem rose from the ashes of the dot-com crash, Shale 2.0 will emerge—and for the same structural reasons. --Mark P Mills, The Wall Street Journal, 19 January 2016

Media hype about forest fires and global warming

forest fireThe (formerly) Scientific American magazine has a January 8 story proclaiming “Global Warming Helped Exacerbate Biggest Year Ever for U.S. Wildfires.” (See story)

That story claims: “More than 10.1 million acres of U.S. forests—private, state and federal—were scorched last year, marking 2015 as the most extensive and expensive fire season on record, according to numbers released Wednesday by the Forest Service.” [emphasis added] By the way, 5.1 million acres of that 2015 total were in Alaska.

The Scientific American claim is taken apart by two recent articles, one on Tony Heller’s Real Science blog, the other by Michael Bastasch in the Daily Caller.

No Pause in Warmist Pseudo-Science

The data plotted above, and which they use, is not actually the GISS land-ocean temperature data set.The data plotted above, and which the authors use, is not actually the GISS land-ocean temperature data set.It’s always undignified to get hit by ‘friendly fire’. That’s what’s happened to a group of Stanford University statistical experts and their late-2015 peer-reviewed paper  “Debunking the climate hiatus” in the prestigious journal Climatic Change.

Two statistician bloggers, Radford Neal and Grant Foster, have torn the paper apart, even though both agree – for other reasons – that the 15+ years pause or hiatus in warming is a statistical illusion. So, warmists, it’s no use making ad-hominem attacks on these bloggers because they’re on your side.

I am unqualified to comment on the statistical arguments, having barely passed Stats 101 at ANU in 1972, the era of the slide rule. So my point is about prima facie and uncorrected crud making its way into a prestigious peer-reviewed climate journal, which may now have to publish some soul-destroying corrections. And if that essay made it into “the science”, what other junk has also been elevated to scientific holy writ?

Critic Radford Neal (right) is  Professor, Dept. of Statistics and Dept. of Computer Science, University of Toronto. He not only looks to me like a good statistician, but his papers have earned 22,600 citations, including 8,600 in the past half-decade. He sets out the status of the “Debunk” authors:

Britain’s ‘Craziest Green Project Ever’ Hits the Rocks

lagoon manmade Some rare good news from the eco wars: it looks increasingly likely that a lunatic green project to build a £1 billion tidal lagoon across Swansea Bay in South Wales is going to be scrapped.

Or so reckons Christopher Booker who has been on its case from the start.

If it still goes ahead, the Swansea Tidal Lagoon (pictured) will produce the world’s most expensive electricity – at a massively taxpayer-subsidised £168 per megawatt hour: over three times the going rate – while changing forever the character of the bay and causing all manner of disruption to the local wildlife.

£1 billion lagoon that could be Britain's pottiest ever green scheme

breakwater lagoonJust when it seemed that our national energy policy — alongside defence of the realm, an absolute priority, to keep the lights on — couldn’t be managed in a madder or more alarming way, along comes the most bizarre project of all.

This is a £1 billion scheme to build a colossal U-shaped stone breakwater, six miles long, enclosing the whole of Swansea Bay in South Wales, containing 16 giant submerged turbines, whose blades would be seven metres across.

The idea is that these would be driven by the water pouring through them from both directions by the 30ft daily rise and fall of the Bristol Channel’s tides, the second highest in the world.