The report's lead researcher, NOAA's meteorologist Martin Hoerling, told the Associated Press, "This is one of those events that comes along once every couple hundreds of years. Climate change was not a significant part, if any, of the event." The analysis was conducted by a team of federal and university researchers.
In pushing for his green agenda, President Barack Obama has repeatedly cited last year’s massive drought, which cost the US $35 billion, as evidence of climate change.
However, a new report from the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA) found that a bizarre confluence of natural variations was responsible for the precipitous drop in rainfall levels across the United States last summer.
“This is one of those events that comes along once every couple hundreds of years,” lead author Martin Hoerling told the Associated Press. “Climate change was not a significant part, if any, of the event.”
Last year, moist air from the Gulf of Mexico did not flow as it normally does – northward. According to the report, the Jet Stream that customarily brings moisture from the Gulf and into the contiguous US was trapped up north in Canada. As a result, July and August saw markedly less rainfall than previous years.
From Obama's second Inaugural address (emphasis added):
President Barack Obama said on Monday he will confront climate change in his second term in office, an unexpected vow that puts the politically charged issue among his domestic priorities alongside gun control and immigration reform.
Linking climate change to devastating weather and fires, Obama said the country could grow its economy while protecting itself from the worst effects of a phenomenon scientists say is getting worse due to man-made pollutants.
Contradicting earlier findings supported by the Obama administration, new research suggests the record-high drought that affected agricultural production across the Great Plains region last year was, in fact, not caused by manmade global warming.
The lack of thunderstorms and rainfall in July and August last year led to the driest and hottest summer on record, creating drought conditions across two-thirds of the U.S. that were even hotter and drier than the infamous "dust bowl" during the Great Depression era.
According to the recent report by the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration's drought unit, a "sequence of unfortunate events" occurred suddenly, making the drought unpredictable. The jet stream that typically pushes moist air from the Gulf region northward was stuck too far north in Canada and did not bring spring rains.
Last summer's record-smashing drought in the US heartland was driven far more by natural variability in weather patterns than by global warming, according to a new analysis by a team of federal and university researchers.
The study represents what its authors call a first cut at untangling the factors contributing to the drought – particularly to the hardest hit region in the Central Plains. The analysis does not explicitly exclude global warming as a player.
Instead, the researchers say that any one effect was too small to contribute to the time, place, and intensity of the drought in any significant way.
The Hill reports:It was hot in Washington, D.C. yesterday. Unfortunately, some Democrats couldn’t just sit back and enjoy it.
House Democrats on Wednesday pointed to today’s record-setting heat in Washington D.C. as the latest sign that the Earth is warming.
Rep. Earl Blumenauer (D-Ore.) managed a speech on the House floor in which several Democrats joined to say that Congress needs to find a way forward on climate change in light of the growing number of incidents of extreme weather, which included Hurricane Sandy last year. …
Rep. Steve Cohen (D-Tenn.) also cited today’s weather as a bad sign.
“In Memphis, it does occasionally get hot, but it also does in Washington. I think it’s supposed to be 90 today,” Cohen said.
The European Union's economic problems mean the bloc should be more flexible in the way it promotes a low-carbon economy and should broaden the focus of its energy policy beyond purely reducing greenhouse-gas emissions to ensuring that energy will remain affordable, the EU's energy chief said. Mr. Oettinger's comments signal a shift in the EU's clean-energy strategy, with a bigger focus on keeping down costs to preserve the competitiveness of the bloc's economy. In 2007, when the EU set its last binding targets for 2020 for greenhouse-gas emissions, renewable energy and efficiency, it focused almost exclusively on climate protection, Mr. Oettinger said. --Jan Hromadko, The Wall Street Journal, 10 April 2013
The EU’s chief scientific advisor has said that evidence allows the go-ahead for extracting shale gas, the energy source at the centre of a European policy tug-of-war. Climate Commissioner Connie Hedegaard has adopted a less favourable tone on shale gas, believing its extraction in Europe bears little comparison with the United States. But Anne Glover, the chief scientific adviser to Commission President José Manuel Barroso, contradicted this view and gave a scientific green light to shale. --EurActiv, 11 April 2013
There isn’t “an increasing trend of more extreme weather” unless you include the current cooling cycle that has been in effect for the last 17 years, causing longer, more intense winters around the world. I doubt that the Greens can do anything about the Sun which has been in a natural cycle of reduced radiation.
As for hurricanes like Sandy, meteorologists will confirm that on average the U.S. can expect two major storm systems, categories 3 to 5, every three years. In all categories, the average is about five hurricanes that make landfall every three years. So, there is no increasing trend of more extreme weather. There is just the weather.
One doesn’t need to be a global-warming skeptic to be appalled by a new set of national K–12 science standards. Those standards, developed by educrats and science administrators, and likely to be adopted initially by up to two dozen states, put the study of global warming and other ways that humans are destroying life as we know it at the very core of science education. This is a political choice, not a scientific one. But the standards are equally troubling in their embrace of the nostrums of progressive pedagogy.
Students educated under the Next Generation Science Standardswill begin their lifelong attention to climate change as soon as they enter school. Kindergartners will be expected to “use tools and materials to design and build a structure that will reduce the warming effect of sunlight on an area” (perhaps this is what used to be known as “building a fort”) and “develop understanding of patterns and variations in local weather and the purpose of weather forecasting to prepare for, and respond to, severe weather.”
Maybe the greatest victory of all we climate sceptical bloggers have won in the aftermath of Climategate is this: we have established that "authority" – be it the Royal Society or NASA Giss or the Climatic Research Unit or the Intergovernmental Panel On Climate Change – does not have a monopoly on "truth."
Of course, the concept of argumentum ad verecundiam – the "appeal to authority" – was acknowledged as a rhetorical fallacy long before the invention of the internet.
But what the sceptical blogosphere has achieved in the last five or ten years has been to re-emphasise this point in a lively, thrilling, intellectually exciting, accessible way for a new generation of open-minded thinkers.
The first skirmish, as we know, was won long before Climategate by a "mere" mining engineer who had never once had a single lesson in climatology from the experts at the University of East Anglia's Climatic Research Unit but who yet demonstrated a better grasp of palaeoclimatology and statistical analysis than the entire official climate establishment. Before the internet, this almost certainly wouldn't have been possible. The climate establishment would have closed ranks – as it tried to do to shut out the unwelcome attentions of Steve McIntyre – and McIntyre would never have had the audience for his findings which he did with ClimateAudit.