Last week the Japanese government announced that it would adopt a new emissions reductions target:
A government panel on measures to tackle climate change approved on Friday a new goal to reduce the nation’s greenhouse gas emissions by 3.8 percent by 2020 from the 2005 level. . .Prime Minister Shinzo Abe said he is sure that Japan can substantially contribute to global efforts to tackle climate change. The government will steadily implement necessary measures to achieve the new emissions reduction target, he said.The new goal means a setback from the target of reducing emissions by 25 percent from 1990 by 2020, which was set in 2009 by the administration led by the Democratic Party of Japan. The DPJ is now an opposition party.
In a 2009 paper I explained why Japan's proposed emissions targets were unrealistic and would almost certainly not be met (paper here, open access, note a figure correction here).
Cloud expert Dr. Greg Holland, senior scientist at the National Center for Atmospheric Research, says in a Huff Post article today, "The current consensus on this from the IPCC is that the clouds are in the net warming. Not real sure. There is a possibility that the other effects are dominating and they could be cooling. So this is one of those areas that we need to know a lot more."
Indeed, many peer-reviewed studies find clouds have a net cooling negative-feedback effect, opposite of the claims of the IPCC of a net warming positive-feedback effect. This single erroneous programming assumption of the IPCC climate models, along with an inability to model cloud cover, can alone explain all warming of the 20th century without any influence of greenhouse gases.
As Dr. Roy Spencer notes,
Jeffrey D SachsGlobal warming has been blamed for dozens of devastating tornadoes and thunderstorms that ravaged America’s Midwest this weekend.
Former United Nations adviser and economist Jeffrey Sachs tweeted out Sunday night that the severe storms that hit Illinois on Sunday were the result of human-induced global warming.
Weather tragedy in Illinois. Research shows human-induced warming is likely to lead to more severe thunderstorms. http://t.co/aHLJZqi8ji
— Jeffrey D. Sachs (@JeffDSachs) November 18, 2013
Today’s tornadoes in Illinois were very uncommon in number and severity for the month of November. Not unprecedented, but very uncommon.
— Jeffrey D. Sachs (@JeffDSachs) November 18, 2013
Yesterday twitter was full of climate alarmists rushing to blame the horrible rash of tornadoes hitting the middle of America on climate change, such as this one from the head of Columbia's global warming unit, Dr. Jeffrey Sachs:
As the head of Columbia's Earth Institute, that tweet is part of Sach's job, Twitchy did a great job of keeping track of other alarmists'.
Steag GmbH started Germany’s first new power plant fueled by hard coal in eight years, allowing the generator and energy trader to take advantage of near record-low coal prices that have widened profit margins. The plant is the first new hard-coal-fired generator in Europe’s biggest power market since 2005. It marks the start of Germany’s biggest new-build program for hard coal stations since its liberalization in 1998. Ten new hard-coal power stations, or 7,985 megawatts, are scheduled to start producing electricity in the next two years, according to information from German grid regulator Bundesnetzagentur and operators. --Julia Mengewein, Bloomberg, 15 November 2013
David Cameron provoked a row by saying there was growing evidence that man-made climate change was responsible for disasters such as Typhoon Haiyan, which killed more than 3,500 people in the Philippines last week. The Global Warming Policy Foundation, which argues that the threat from climate change has been exaggerated, said Mr Cameron appeared ignorant of recent findings by the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change on extreme weather events. Benny Peiser, the foundation’s director, said: “In its latest report, the IPCC concludes that over the last 100 years there has been no increase in frequency of tropical storms and hurricanes.” --Francis Elliott, Laura Pitel and Ben Webster, The Times, 16 November 2013
A recent Times of London article claimed new “research” demonstrates that a “chemical onslaught is destroying Britain’s amphibians.” A “toxic cocktail,” it stated, is killing UK frogs, toads and newts.
Manmade chemicals “can affect animals’ immune systems – leaving them vulnerable to attack by fungi, bacteria and other infections,” it continued, citing statements by two scientists. Laboratory experiments show that pesticides have a “powerful effect on amphibian immune systems, even at low concentrations,” causing diseases that have been around for decades to “suddenly become much more deadly.”
And not just for amphibians, the story added. “Some fear the same effects could extend to humans, who are exposed to numerous manmade chemicals, in food, drinks and the air.”
HansenThe public was introduced to the subject by Al Gore, who has never studied an iota of science in his life. He assumed that carbon dioxide absorbs radiation which would otherwise go into space. Less heat going out supposedly meant more heat staying in. So CO2 was called a "heat trapping gas." The public assumed such logic must be correct and allowed Al Gore to teach it to the kids in the schools through his movie.
Radiation only moves 10 meters before being absorbed by CO2. Moving heat around is not increasing it. The planet is cooled by radiation which goes around greenhouse gases. It doesn't matter what the wavelength is; the heat leaves at a variety of wavelengths until the amount of heat leaving equals the amount entering, where it stabilizes-an effect called equilibrium.
As opponents raised questions, proponents said, we do not have time for the science, we must act before it is too late. As the questions increased, a corrective statement was added-"the science is settled." The science never was settled; the statement was only propaganda, but it was believed as it was repeated.
With all the fun watching Obamacare collapse, we’ve hardly had time to take note of the climate change circus tent collapsing around its tentpoles at the latest UN climate summit taking place over in Poland right now.
First, Japan has essentially said “Goodbye to all that” in announcing that it is repudiating its Kyoto Protocol target of a 6 percent reduction in greenhouse gas emissions below 1990 levels (a target that would require about a 25 percent reduction from current emission levels). Instead, Japan announced that its new emissions policy will allow for a 3.1 percent increase in GHG emissions from 1990 levels by the year 2020. Reuters quotes China’s climate “negotiator” (heh) as saying “I have no way of describing my dismay” about the revised target. China is secretly delighted, since it relieves the pressure on them to submit to the economy-ruining agenda of the UN.
Listeners to Radio 4's Today programme were given an unmistakable but totally bogus message last week: that catastrophic storms such as Typhoon Haiyan are linked to global warming – and are set to increase.
The same claim, which has no scientific basis, was echoed by David Cameron, who said there was 'growing evidence' that warming was responsible for storms.
Interviewing Jim Yong Kim, president of the World Bank, presenter Evan Davis announced that climate change has made the Philippine islands 'one of the most fragile parts of the planet' and asked what would the world do if more frequent storms forced its population to abandon them.
Tacloban City after typhoonDOES climate change cause typhoons like Haiyan? The Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change, which has sounded the alarm about man-made global warming, says no.
Its latest report notes: "Current data sets indicate no significant observed trends in global tropical cyclone (cyclone covers both hurricanes and typhoons) frequency over the past century."
However, climate change could yet cause problems. The world has warmed by only about 0.7C above pre-industrial levels, but if temperatures continue to rise as predicted, then much of that extra heat will be stored in the ocean.
Al Gore's coastal villaEach Friday the Wall Street Journal publishes a “Mansion” section which chronicles the amazing evolution of high-end real estate. A recent edition had headlines including “Miami House Not Yet Built Hits the Market for $40 Million,” “Los Angeles Estate on 48 Acres Reduces Its Price to $34.995 Million,” “Manhattan Townhouse Brings In $26 Million to Prominent Chinese Buyer,” and “A House in the Hamptons Lists For $38 Million.”
To readers of the financial press and glossies covering the rich and famous, the headlines mentioned are surely pedestrian, and hardly eye opening. Each week’s “Mansion” section has a variation of the headlines just listed, and that’s of course the point. Where people are buying property and for how much is very telling. To be more blunt, it’s a market signal pregnant with information.