Asian Air Pollution Warms U.S. More Than U.S. Greenhouse Gas Emissions?

Written by World Climate Report.

Greenhouse Gases

Chinese air pollution (Photo credit: CECAR)

There is a just-published study that provides evidence that air pollution emanating from Asia will warm the U.S. as much as or even more than all U.S. greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions.

Such a result effectively renders all EPA and other efforts at mitigating climate change in the U.S. by limiting homegrown GHG emissions mute.

Over at the web site Master Resource, there is a detailed discussion into how the warming effect from Asian air pollution compares with the warming effect of U.S. CO2 emissions. [Spoiler Alert] It turns out, that the two are pretty much on par with one another—which leads to the uncomfortable question: If the future temperature rise in the U.S. is subject to the whims of Asian environmental and energy policy, then what sense does it make for Americans to have their energy choices regulated by efforts aimed at mitigating future temperature increases across the US—efforts which may have less of an impact on temperatures than the policies enacted across Asia?

The new study appearing in the scientific journal Geophysical Research Letters is authored by a team led by Haiyan Teng from the National Center for Atmospheric Research, in Boulder, Colorado. The paper is titled “Potential Impacts of Asian Carbon Aerosols on Future US Warming.”

Here is the abstract of the paper:

This study uses an atmosphere-ocean fully coupled climate model to investigate possible remote impacts of Asian carbonaceous aerosols on US climate change. We took a 21st century mitigation scenario as a reference, and carried out three sets of sensitivity experiments in which the prescribed carbonaceous aerosol concentrations over a selected Asian domain are increased by a factor of two, six, and ten respectively during the period of 2005-2024. The resulting enhancement of atmospheric solar absorption (only the direct effect of aerosols is included) over Asia induces tropospheric heating anomalies that force large-scale circulation changes which, averaged over the twenty-year period, add as much as an additional 0.4°C warming over the eastern US during winter and over most of the US during summer. Such remote impacts are confirmed by an atmosphere standalone experiment with specified heating anomalies over Asia that represent the direct effect of the carbon aerosols.

To see more details of this study and how warming from Asian air pollution compares to temperature savings from U.S. greenhouse gas emissions reduction proposals, be sure to read the article “Asian Air Pollution Warms U.S. More Than U.S. Greenhouse Gas Emissions?” posted at Master Resource.

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Comments  

 
Gator
# Gator 06-13-2012 12:09
Sorry, you lost me when you started blaming warming on CO2... no need to read the rest... :zzz
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Robert
# Robert 06-13-2012 18:26
Quote:
Such a result effectively renders all EPA and other efforts at mitigating climate change in the U.S. by limiting homegrown GHG emissions mute.
Mute? Really? Now in the English I learned in order to state what the rest of that sentence seems to convey the word would be "moot."

Please tell me this was not written by a native English speaking college graduate. It would not surprise me in the least were that the case, but it would be nice to think an error such as that is not the result of the pathetic state of our education system.
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Mike
# Mike 06-13-2012 20:02
The warming impact of black carbon (soot) is of limited duration as black carbon is removed from the atmosphere rather quickly. By contrast, about half of emitted CO2 stays in the atmosphere for centuries.
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Gator
# Gator 06-14-2012 06:10
Hey Mike! That's one of the many reasons the climate models always fail. CO2 residency in the atmosphere is actually only about 7 years, with an upper estimation of at most about 12 years.

Alarmists must make inflate these numbers in order to support their models, which always fail.
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