Opposing view: Natural cycles trigger extremes in weather

Written by Joe Bastardi, USA Today.

Dust Bowl 1936

Dust Bowl 1936 (Photo credit: erjkprunczyk)

The argument that global warming is causing more extreme weather is problematic because it presumes the globe is warming.

In fact, the global temperature trend line has been stable for more than a dozen years, while carbon dioxide has increased 7%. If CO2 was the driver, then why have global temperatures stopped increasing?

Keep in mind that CO2 represents 0.0395% of the Earth's atmosphere. Arguing that CO2 is driving the small temperature variations in our climate as opposed to the oceans, which cover 70% of the planet and have 1,000 times the heat capacity of air, or the output of our sun, is scientifically disturbing.

Weather is more publicized nowadays because of its impact on society and the constant push of the global warming agenda. Increases in population result in more people being in the path of Mother Nature's fury.

Global warming activists attribute every major weather event to man because they are either uninformed about history, or choose to ignore it. The latest claims resulting from this series of hot and dry summers ignores the fact that more state heat records were set in the 1930s than all other decades of the last century combined. Anyone remember the Dust Bowl?

Seven major hurricanes hit the East Coast from 1954 to 1960. Now that we are in a pattern similar to the 1950s, the East Coast is vulnerable once again, and attributing events like Hurricane Irene to global warming is incorrect.

All the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change projections for our climate have proved to be wrong. Global temperatures have stopped increasing and are nowhere near estimates made a decade ago. The IPCC incorrectly predicted Arctic sea ice would disappear by now.

After Katrina in 2005, more and stronger hurricanes were forecast to be the future. The Accumulated Cyclone Energy Index for the globe has instead declined to the lowest level in 30 years.

This does not mean we will not see warm weather and land-falling hurricanes. We are in a pattern similar to the 1950s when U.S. heat and drought as well as East Coast land-falling hurricanes were quite prevalent.

The real facts about man-made global warming can be found at real science, wattsupwiththat.com and climatedepot.com. Perhaps when the Atlantic flips cold, we will be hearing Ice Age scares again as we did in the 1970s.

Joe Bastardi is chief forecaster at WeatherBELL Analytics, a meteorological consulting firm.

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Comments  

 
Gator
# Gator 08-01-2012 11:53
I was a climatology student decades ago and viewed our governmental agencies, such as NOAA, as the gold standard of atmospheric sciences. With each passing year their credibility is further diminished by their collusion in this scam, and they either do not care or cannot see it.

I remember working with primarily uban dwellers at my last job, which was while the Lewinsky affair was unfolding. I will never forget how my coworkers simply shrugged off the entire affair and wrote it off as 'everybody does it'. I felt it necessary to point out that in fact not everyone is a scumbag.

Leftists do not stray, intellectually or otherwise, from their comfort zones, unless it is to attack something or someone. They surround themselves with like minded individuals, and squelch all dissent. After committing their crimes, they then proceed to project that upon society as a whole.

Lefists do not understand the value found in truths that conflict with their world view. They prefer 'changing' the truth, over changing their minds.
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more soylent green!
# more soylent green! 08-01-2012 13:08
Gator: Many people don't care about personal character of their leaders, as long as those leaders bring home the loot. This is not universal to the left, but they seem to care least about character and most about conformance to political ideology, power and money.
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Gator
# Gator 08-01-2012 15:53
Hey msg! What was most sad and disturbing about my experience, was that they were not commenting so much on Clinton, as themselves.

The left does not only care very little about character, they pay it no attention whatsoever, unless they see it lacking on the right.

We are fighting an amoral adversary, from smallest player, to leader of the not quite as free world.
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Aido
# Aido 08-02-2012 07:26
James Delingpole has written an excellent book titled Watermelons - How Environmentalists are Killing the Planet, Destroying the Economy and Stealing Your Children's Future.

Watermelons seems a strange word to use as a title for a book about global warming. It's not until one is well into the book that James lets us in on it: a watermelon is green on the outside and red on the inside.
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Mark
# Mark 08-03-2012 03:24
Hi Aido, Communism,socialism and progressives are pretty much the same thing. It never has been about a trace gas driving the climate but ultimately about wealth distribution and the dismantling of democracy.

Agenda 21 is not a conspiracy - it is real.en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Agenda_21
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Dave
# Dave 08-03-2012 10:10
"Keep in mind that CO2 represents 0.0395% of the Earth's atmosphere..."

Also keep in mind that the vast majority of that 0.0395% is naturally occurring, not due to human activity. Scientifically disturbing? More like totally absurd, but that's what passes as "science" in the church of climatology.
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Mark
# Mark 08-03-2012 10:15
Hi Dave,
I heard man's contribution is around 14% of the trace gas. Even this seems a little high to me.

I don't know if someone has a more accurate figure?
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Gator
# Gator 08-03-2012 10:44
Hey Mark! The most widely accepted round figure is 5%. But this is the figure that blows them all away.

99.72%

"When other anthropogenic greenhouse gases – methane (CH4), nitrous oxide (N2O), and trace elements such as CFCs – are added to the above CO2, the total human contribution to greenhouse gases is .28 percent."

It's the (not quite) 'one percenters' they are after! :lol: :lol: :lol:
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Mark
# Mark 08-03-2012 11:07
Hi Gator, Thanks for the reply. they are a long way from the 1%.
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Aido
# Aido 08-03-2012 10:56
From all I've read, man's contribution to atmospheric CO2 is 3.4% of the total.

I've done this sum before, but I always get a kick out of it - helps me keep sane when I hear politicians spout on about Global Warming, Carbon, wind farms etc.

CO2 is about one twenty-fifth of one percent of the atmosphere. Man's contribution is 3.4% of that, or about one thirtieth; that's one thirtieth of one thenty-fifth = one seven-hundred and fiftieth of one percent.

Do these guys ever do the sums for themselves? (Maybe they just can't.)
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Mark
# Mark 08-03-2012 11:05
Hi Aido,Thanks for clearing that up for me.
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