The Case of the Alternating Ice Sheets

Written by Doug L. Hoffman, Resilient Earth.

Nansen's ship Fram in the Arctic ice

Nansen's ship Fram in the Arctic ice (Photo credit: Wikipedia)

There has been a wave of triumphal announcements by climate change proponents recently, almost giddy over the summer shrinkage of the Arctic ice sheet. “Lowest level ever!” they proclaim, thought that is not quite true. Nonetheless, The Arctic pack ice has been receding over the last decade or so, but that is only natural. You see, there is a well known, if poorly understood, linkage between the ice at the north pole and the ice in and around Antarctica—and the ice around Antarctica is doing quite well.

Satellite radar altimetry measurements indicate that the East Antarctic ice sheet interior increased in mass by 45±7 billion metric tons per year from 1992 to 2003. This trend continues today, reinforcing recent scientific investigations into this millennial scale oscillation between the poles. According to studies, this is how things have been for hundreds of thousands of years.

By now everyone who pays attention to climate matters has heard the news, the Nations Ice and Snow Data Center (NSIDC) has proclaimed a new record low for the Arctic ice sheet. The dweebs over at RealClimate are beside themselves with joy, smugly celebrating the impending ecological doom of all mankind. “Take to the lifeboats, the seas are a risin'.” Ok, maybe they are not quite that ecstatic, but this “record” is being used as a see-I-told-you-so to prop up anthropogenic global warming. Here is what the NSIDC had to say in their press release:

Arctic sea ice cover melted to its lowest extent in the satellite record yesterday, breaking the previous record low observed in 2007. Sea ice extent fell to 4.10 million square kilometers (1.58 million square miles) on August 26, 2012. This was 70,000 square kilometers (27,000 square miles) below the September 18, 2007 daily extent of 4.17 million square kilometers (1.61 million square miles).

NSIDC scientist Walt Meier commented, “By itself it's just a number, and occasionally records are going to get set. But in the context of what's happened in the last several years and throughout the satellite record, it's an indication that the Arctic sea ice cover is fundamentally changing.” Problem is the record is not all that meaningful. As I will explain, these folks are all missing the bigger picture.

Read rest…

Comments  

 
Joker
# Joker 09-24-2012 10:21
Q1 How old is the Earth?

Q2 How long has man been on the Earth?

Q3 When did records begin?

Q4 Has this happened before?

Don't all answer at once boy and girls.

Drewski, go and stand in the corner with this Dunces cap on!
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Gator
# Gator 09-25-2012 03:49
Hey Joker! I was about to send out a search party, now if we can only find anne. I'm not too concerned over the corner standing cap wearing sky falling ice melting hyperventilating chicken little. The morons always seem to survive and reproduce, somehow.

I'm still waiting for something unprecedented, and so far, nothin'. Still looks like the same old planet, doing the same old thing, day in and day out. Ho hum. Guess we'll just wait for the next idiot to come by and exclaim that the sky is falling. Shouldn't be long... lots of registered dimocrats out there.
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Drewski
# Drewski 09-28-2012 12:39
Maybe you should ask what caused those changes in the past and then find out if those reasons are currently present. Perhaps you will discover, as 97% of publishing climate scientists have, that there is another catalyst at work now. care to guess what that is?
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Gator
# Gator 09-28-2012 13:08
Thanks for showing us your manifest mental disorder(s) once again Cool Whip. You have been shown MANY TIMES that the 97% figure is utter nonsense.

So, either you are a serial liar, stupid, or both.

No wonder you guys are losing the debate.

Thanks for scoring another one on your own goal little buddy. :D
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Robert
# Robert 09-28-2012 14:25
Yes indeed, that 97% "statistic" is crap, has been proven to be crap, but like everything else it gets regurgitated over and over as though it means something.

drewski is simply hoping that if he repeats it enough times it will follow the "a lie repeated enough times becomes true" route. Seems to be his forte.
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Drewski
# Drewski 09-28-2012 20:25
I forget -- was it Steve Goddard, John OMG"Sullivan, Monckton or some other non Lord, non person or non lawyer who has shown me "many times" that climate scientists talk nonsense about climate?
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Mark
# Mark 09-28-2012 15:01
The 97% "Consensus" is only 75 Self-Selected Climatologists.
Yes only 75 out of 77 biased pseudo-scientists (97.4%)

All about it here.hockeyschtick.blogspot.com/search?q=97%25

What about the more than 30,000 scientists who say different.
lets add them in then
I get 30002/30077
So at least 99.75% of scientists say humans are not responsible for global warming.

True science is not done by consensus. Concensus is politics.
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Drewski
# Drewski 09-28-2012 20:34
Mark, What would Britney Spears or a dead dentist or an electrical engineer (all signatories on that trumped up petition) know about climate?

If you want to know about climate, why not ask the 97% of the PUBLISHING climate scientists what they think?

Maybe you could ask the NSA, the CIA, the Pentagon, the US Navy, the Vatican, the British Conservative Party, the Australian Labor Party, the European Union, Exxon, BP, Shell, the American Petroleum Institute, the World Meteorlogical Society, hundreds of international university earth science departments, 868 university presidents, and all (as in every single one) of the world's science academies.

Or you could believe Gator.
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Gator
# Gator 09-29-2012 08:35
What a case study this lunatic would make!

Quote:
If you want to know about climate, why not ask the 97% of the PUBLISHING climate scientists what they think?
As I stated above, this is lie being spread by someone who knows it is a lie, and then he came back and doubled down on dishonesty and tripled down on stupidity. :o

99.999999999% of all Baptists world wide believe Jesus is Lord! Every one of their best bible scholars says so, and you cannot argue with them, because you are not a bible scholar. They have just as much scientific evidence that Jeseus is Lord, as the 97 percenters do that man is warming the planet. And their consensus was not dishonestly manufactured.

"We find that they originally contacted 10,257 scientists, of whom 3,146 responded, less than a 31% response rate. "Impending Planetary Doom" was obviously not uppermost in the minds of over two thirds of their target population. Of that number, only 5% described themselves as climate scientists, numbering 157. The authors reduce that by half by only counting those who they classed as "specialists".

So does this mean that 70% of scientists hate their children? :eek:

Maybe we should follow the Baptists since they love their families, unlike the evil scientists. Or, maybe this is all just a bunch of Cool Whip's favorite flavor of BS.
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Gator
# Gator 09-29-2012 08:41
"In our survey, the most specialized and knowledgeable respondents (with regard to climate change) are those who listed climate science as their area of expertise and who also have published more than 50% of their recent peer-reviewed papers on the subject of climate change (79 individuals in total). Of these specialists, 96.2% (76 of 79) answered "risen" to question 1 and 97.4% (75 of 77) answered yes to question 2.

There were supposed to have been nine questions asked, but we are only given sight of two of them.

1. When compared with pre-1800s levels, do you think that mean global temperatures have generally risen, fallen, or remained relatively constant?

This is quite banal and shows the desperation of those involved in this "unbiased survey of a large and broad group of Earth scientists."


I would have answered 'yes" to that question as well, it is what is called climate chnage, and I am not a denier of natural variability, as are the "experts" listed in this most deceitful of manipulation of surveys. Do they have asnything else to offer? let's see...
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Gator
# Gator 09-29-2012 08:56
Let's recrunch those numbers again.

77 out of 10,257 is .73%, so .73% of those surveyed said they know man is responsible for recent climate change.

Wow! Nearly one percent! :D

Funny, their survey size was about one third of the Oregon petition.
And 100% of the signers of that petition say that man is not responsible.

77 versus 31,487 (9029 PhD's)... so that's only .24% who say they know man is responsible. Where is that consensus again? :D

Let's explore that further below...
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Gator
# Gator 09-29-2012 09:08
Now, as I stated above, those who declare Jesus as Lord have just as much science on their side as the warmists, but have an actual consenus, unlike the warmists.

Let's start with the letter "A"...

AD 2000 Business Executives Consultation

Affiliation of Christian Geologists

Africa Inland Mission Canada

Africa Inland Mission International

Air Serve International

All Ethnos Communications Network

The Alliance of Confessing Evangelicals

American Baptist Church

The American Center for Law and Justice

American Family Association

American Scientific Affiliation

American Theological Library Association

American Tract Society

The Amy Foundation

Anglican Frontier Missions

Answers in Action

Antiochian Evangelical Orthodox Mission

Apologia

Artists for Israel

Asia Lutheran Hour Press Service

Asia Pacific Education Office

Asian Minorities Outreach

Assemblies of God Church (USA)

Associate Reformed Presbyterian Church
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Gator
# Gator 09-29-2012 09:13
Association for International Missions Services

Association of Baptists for World Evangelism

The Association of Christian Schools International

Association of Christian Teachers (UK)

Association of Lutheran Church Musicians


Gee Wally, I'll bet they didn't have to fake a consensus with any of those folks.

In fact, if you send 10,257 surveys to those listed above, every single reply would say that Jesus is Lord. And remember, you are not a bible scholar, so you cannot argue with them. Jesus is Lord is a proven fact.

If you want the B-Z part of the list, it can be found on Google.
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Gator
# Gator 09-29-2012 09:16
So it appears that the faith of the warmists is lacking. 100% of Christians say Jesus is Lord, whereas only .73% of selected scientists surveyed said they know man is responsible for recent climate change. Sounds like they are the fringe to me, but then with the advent of the internet we have seen many gatherings of like minded freaks.
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Gator
# Gator 09-29-2012 09:24
Quote:
Maybe you could ask the NSA, the CIA, the Pentagon, the US Navy, the Vatican, the British Conservative Party, the Australian Labor Party, the European Union, Exxon, BP, Shell, the American Petroleum Institute, the World Meteorlogical Society, hundreds of international university earth science departments, 868 university presidents, and all (as in every single one) of the world's science academies.
Yet another lie. Cool Whip would have you believe there is no dissent in the ranks of these institutions when nothing could be further from the truth (Cool Whip's home territory). Countless numbers of letters of protest have been written by the members of these organizations, stating that they hold the opposite view. You don't see that from Baptists, because they have a true consensus, unlike the warmists.

Cool Whip is a liar.

Care to triple down dummy? :D :D :D
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Mark
# Mark 09-29-2012 10:16
Well said Gator,
'Pop ice' never seems to amaze me. His logic is illogical. Maybe he could help Gleick and Lew out with their methods of obtaining data for climatism.

Their credo is - 'Lets make it up as we go along and if we have to commit fraud who cares it is for the cause! No-one is more right than us' :lol:
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Gator
# Gator 09-29-2012 10:32
Hey Mark! Cool Whip is a (sad) cheerleader for "the cause". He doesn't care about truth, because he has an agenda.

The truth has no agenda.
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ablevins
# ablevins 09-26-2012 19:48
Q1 How old is the Earth?

4.55 Billion years old

Q2 How long has man been on the Earth?

200 to 400,000 years

Q3 When did records begin?

earliest temperature records
Instrament
Central England Series
1659

1872 NOAA Instrament data

Ice Core records 800,000 years

Sea bottom core records
about 100 million years

Geologic rock data
4.3 Billion years




Q4 Has this happened before?

YeS!!! at least six ice ages back
1.5 Billion Years

Don't all answer at once boy and girls.

Drewski, go and stand in the corner with this Dunces cap on!
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